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The latest Panelbase survey for The Sunday Time shows those aged 16 to 35 back independence by 62 per cent, compared to 48 per cent for Scottish voters as a whole. A report released in 2017, entitled From Indyref1 to Indyref2? Scottish independence: SNP and indy support drops in new poll as Published by Statista Research Department , Feb 15, 2023. Founded by Ben Walker and Lily Jayne Summers. Scotland SNP Referendum Poll Latest News: February 5, 2023 - Bloomberg Scottish independence poll shows support cooling as referendum draws The survey puts Yes and No roughly neck-and-neck, which has been a consistent trend in polling for over a year. With plans for the establishment of a Scottish parliament in Holyrood by the Blair government in the late 1990s, support for Scottish independence rose once again. Shock poll finds Tories are heading for near total wipeout in Wales The figures show the Conservatives on 28% of the vote (-4 from our previous survey on 21-23 September) to Labour's 45% (+5) this is the highest Labour lead YouGov has ever recorded. Support for Welsh independence at its lowest level for three years, St Respondents giving answers between 0 to 4 and 6 to 10 have been mapped to No and Yes here respectively, while respondents giving 5 or "don't know" as answer have been assigned as undecided. All Rights Reserved. Trump. The poll for the Sun found. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means 'I completely support Scotland becoming independent' and 10 means 'I completely support Scotland staying part of the UK' what number would you consider yourself to be?". Access the latest polls, survey results and articles . The YouGov poll released on Monday night put the lead for the no campaign at six points, down from 14 points in the middle of August and 22 points early last month. Although it is only a relatively small Scottish sample (148 people out of 1702 polled in total across the UK), the results would see 23 Nats lose their seats to leave them with 25 MPs. A YouGov poll shows 56% of Scots support the . Polling includes only those that explicitly ask how the responder would vote in a hypothetical referendum on the United Kingdom rejoining the European Union, rather than repeating the remain/leave question of the 2016 referendum. Combining deep sector expertise with local knowledge to provide you with a deep understanding of your industry. However, following the Scottish parliament election of May 2021, one in which Nicola Sturgeon continued in government albeit in coalition with the Scottish greens , there have been signs of a slight drop off in enthusiasm for Scottish independence. This is the same constant level of dont knows that has been seen in most polls over the last 5 years. ((__lxGc__=window.__lxGc__||{'s':{},'b':0})['s']['_222513']=__lxGc__['s']['_222513']||{'b':{}})['b']['_680898']={'i':__lxGc__.b++}; Never miss the day's key interactions and exchanges in parliament. Separate from the question of how Scots might vote in a hypothetical second referendum is the question of whether there should be a second referendum. The latest YouGov poll, of 1,088 voters in Scotland from January 23 to January 26, found that Sturgeon's approval rating had slipped into negative territory, from +7 to -4, since October. UK Opinion Polls News | Latest UK Opinion Polls - NewsNow Indeed by the time that the Scot, Gordon Brown, became prime minister in 2007, support for Scottish independence had fallen back to 24%, its lowest level for over two decades. Further details of the latest voting intentions in relation to a Scottish independence referendum can be seen in the most recent individual polls: Yougov (January 26) which placed the Yes side on 46.5% and the No side on 53.5%, post adjusting for undecided voters. We don't have an account for this email address. Scottish independence polls & surveys | YouGov For Labour and the Lib Dems parties which also supported the legislation and oppose Westminsters intervention the figures are 13 per cent and 14 per cent respectively., The Times poll, conducted by Panelbase, reported on 11 Feb 2023. Scotlands Political Landscape After Nicola Sturgeon? Truss Extends Lead Over Sunak in Race to Lead UK, Poll Shows Respondents are asked Which of these statements comes closest to your view? Elsewhere, the Lib Dems have 9 per cent of the vote (-1), but could be well placed to pick up vital seats in the Blue Wall, where voters would sooner pinch their nose and vote amber over red. The figures show the Conservatives on 25% of the vote (+1 from our previous survey on 1-2 November) to Labour's 48% (-2). Opinion polling on Scottish independence is continually being carried out by various organisations to gauge public attitudes to independence. The exclusive poll, by Savanta ComRes for The Scotsman, has support for Yes at its lowest level since just before the 2019 general election, which saw Boris Johnson's Conservative party earn an . That opinion poll lead so far appears unaffected by Nicola Sturgeons announcement that she was standing down as first minister in mid February 2023. A new opinion poll has found that support for the Tories in Wales is in freefall. A band of rain, sleet and snow is expected to move south during Monday followed by frequent snow and hail showers, Ken Bruce leaves BBC with veiled jibe after they ended his show early over concerns was free advertising for a rival, The 72-year-old Glaswegian left Radio to join Greatest Hits Radio in April after the Beeb told him to step down 17 days early, Teaching strikes held off as union on brink of striking pay deal. Opinion polling on Scottish independence is continually being carried out by various organisations to gauge public attitudes to independence. A majority of Scots back same-sex marriage, according to the most detailed survey of public opinion since MSPs began moves to change the law. In the midst of the coronavirus pandemic, one in which the Scottish government took responsibility for the handling of the virus in Scotland, there were signs of sustained backing for Scottish independence for the first time. If you can, please show your appreciation for our free content by donating whatever you think is fair to help keep TLE growing and support real, independent, investigative journalism. The pollster found Labour on 50 per cent of the vote an increase of three points from their last poll. Voting Intention: Con 28%, Lab 45% (23-25 Sep 2022) | YouGov CalMac warns of further disruption to ferry service due to lack of backup ferries, The ferry operator is facing frequent issues as it has to constantly repair the aging fleet which is blighted with problems due to the lack of back ups, Scottish lags misuse 4.1million taxpayer-funded mobile phones more than 7,000 times in three years, More than 4,082 inmates have been caught out for using mobile phones paid for by the taxpayers to commit crimes while in prison, Iconic Glasgow bakery Mortons Rolls 'ceases all trading' after 58 years. Rather than drop back after IndyRef1, and with the SNP remaining in government in Edinburgh under new first minister Nicola Sturgeon, support for Scottish independence continued to rise. independence? The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous Scottish Parliament election, held . In doing so the Lib Dems would defeat both the deputy prime minister, Dominic Raab, and the Chancellor, Jeremy Hunt. As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.4 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents. YouGov is a global public opinion and data company. YouGov found that voting intention in 53 such constituencies in the south and east of England currently held by the party stood at 44% for the Conservatives, 24% for Labour, 18% for the Liberal Democrats and 9% for the Greens. The above analysis of general election polls has been calculated through linear average equation modelling of the latest UK opinion polls of Westminster voting intention. Scottish election 2021: Polling expert says SNP majority 'on a knife-edge' Small movements in the polls between now and May 6 could make an "important difference to the outcome", according to . @britainelects. Again, the Scottish sample is even small (103 out of 993 once don't knows are removed) but the survey puts Labour in the lead north of the Border on 40 per cent of the vote. The new offer will see teachers getting a 12.3% increase by April 2023, and it will rise to 14% by 2024. Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. Two new UK-wide opinion polls have added weight to the growing belief that Labour would be close to catching the SNP if a General Election were held anytime soon. We are sorry, but the email address you entered does not appear to be valid. Opinion Polling Sees Households Downbeat On Economy In Coming Months Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means 'I completely oppose Scotland becoming an independent country' and 10 means 'I completely support Scotland becoming an independent country' what number would you consider yourself to be?". Since you are here, we wanted to ask for your help. should not be a referendum on Scottish Latest Opinion Polls - The Result Of A General Election Today Read more, Editorial enquiries, please contact: [emailprotected], Commercial enquiries, please contact: [emailprotected]. 4th October 2022| We use your sign-up to provide content in the ways you've consented to and improve our understanding of you. Rishi Sunak's poll bounce shows that he's still the Tories' best hope Critics pointed out that the survey contained many in the 24 to 49-year-old age bracket. "Yes to an independent Scotland", "No to an independent Scotland", "I will not vote" and "I am not registered to vote" were the options given. Week-in-Review: Covid sleaze is back and more politically potent than ever, Former Conservative party chairman: Sue Gray appointment proves Starmer is man of the establishment. Humza Yousaf takes the lead as SNP members swing behind Nicola Sturgeon's man, The 'worst health secretary in the history of devolution' is just ahead of his rivals in the SNP leadership contest, although a third of Nat members still don't know who to vote for, Ian Blackford 'looking forward' to end of police probe into SNP's 'murky' finances as he dodges Peter Murrell question. Excluding those who declare themselves to be undecided (currently around 6% of the electorate), polling averages from February 2023 places the Yes side at 47.1% and the No side at 52.9%. Truss Widens UK Poll Lead as U-Turn on Public-Worker Pay Gives Sunak Hope As always you can unsubscribe at any time. Meanwhile, the latest opinion polls suggest it will be a knife-edge after a recent drop in SNP's approval rating and a small rise in Labour and Conservatives. This lead was trending at around 8% at the point that Liz Truss became prime minister in September 2022. With Labour improving its polling position in Scotand, the party would now gain 12 seats off the SNP in Scotland, albeit the SNP would mitigate those losses slightly by gaining three seats from the Conservatives and one from the Lib Dems. The dates for these opinion polls range from the 2014 Scottish independence referendum to the present day. In terms of specific adjustments then made to this analysis, Politics.co.uk has assumed that the Green MP Caroline Lucas would continue to hold her safe seat in Brighton Pavilion, and that Sir Lindsay Hoyle would be returned as Speaker for his constituency of Chorley. The YouGov Cost of Living Segmentation YouGov 12:02 7-Feb-23. Champion Newspapers Limited 20:21 22-Feb-23. Support for Scottish independence has grown steadily over the last forty five years. Pollsters showed that Liberal Democrat voting intention during most of this Parliament has been constant at around the 9% mark with only temporary uplifts above this point. Automotive. Britain Elects deals in poll aggregation alongside analysis of upcoming elections and the state of British public opinion. When Johnson announced his resignation on July 7, 2022, YouGov polling showed Labour on 40% and the Tories on 29% an 11 point lead. Opinion polling for UK general elections; 2010 election; Opinion polls: 2015 election; Opinion polls Leadership approval: 2017 election; Opinion polls Leadership approval: . Opinion polling for the next Scottish Parliament election On moral issues, do we really want to take the American way? Crucially for the Union, the SNP would be some distance off a majority share if the election was to be regarded as a 'de facto' referendum on independence, as Nicola Sturgeon has suggested. In the 2016 independence referendum, some 44.7% of Scottish voters backed Scotland becoming an independent country. US ; About ; For business ; . Latest general election voting intention opinion polls - Mark Pack Should religious people be allowed to hold top political jobs? Polling, even using the same question, can show systematic differences between different polling organisations and sponsors. Most polling companies listed here are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. UK Opinion Polls News | Latest UK Opinion Polls - NewsNow Latest News By the second half of 2020, in November 2020, the Yes campaign reached a record level of 56% in the polls. In this case, Nicola Sturgeon has said that the SNP will treat the next UK General Election as a "de facto" referendum, campaigning on the single issue of independence. However, it follows two other polls published in the last 48-hours that have put Labour well ahead of the Tories. Results are limited to only those who state they will definitely vote. (Excluding Dont Knows the margin is just shy of 70/30, very similar to the margin by which people in polls oppose self-ID generally. Scottish Opinion Polls Recent Scottish opinion polls. This includes a majority of those who agree the people should be freely able to express their transgender identity. In Wales, Plaid Cymru is currently on course to lose one seat to Labour. YouGov polled a representative sample of 1,081 Welsh voters, aged 16+, between February 3 and February 7 for ITV Cymru Wales and Cardiff University. UK PM Johnson's Conservatives see support slump to lowest since The former SNP Westminster leader claimed he had not spoken to Nicola Sturgeon and Peter Murrell about the Police Scotland probe into the party's 'missing' 600k. The pollster found. In early November 2021, the furore over the resignation of the Conservative MP Owen Patterson saw the trend Conservative vote share fall by a further 3%. Labour remain on top with 37 per cent in the poll published this morning, an increase of one percentage point. Scottish election 2021: Sturgeon says SNP 'not a divided party' Tory Votes: YouGov Poll Shows Rishi Sunak Losing Leadership Race in This feed updates continuously 24/7 so check back regularly. . In all polls the dont knows are removed. New YouGov projections suggest Tories could become UK's FOURTH party SNP MP apologises over ignorant racial slur, Boris Johnson may have misled parliament on several occasions, Billionaires should not exist Bernie Sanders, Bernie Sanders issues stark warning to Brits over NHS, Fear and Loathing in the New Conservatives, Elevenses: Fear and Loathing in the New Conservatives. Most Recent Independence Poll, YouGov 17th - 20th of February 2023 No Yes Don't Know Headline Excluding Don't Knows 49% (+1) 54% (+1 / -1) 42% (nc) 46% (-1 / +1) 9% (-2) By-Elections By-elections By-Election Result: Dyce, Bucksburn and Danestone February 27, 2023 Comments Off Please click 'Sign in and Subscribe' to continue. and given the options of "Yes" and "No". Support for Welsh independence has fallen back to its lowest level in three years, a St David's Day poll for Wales carried out by pollsters YouGov has shown. A new poll published by YouGov Tuesday shows that Sunak would lose to any of his three remaining rivals among Tory members in a final two-way round of votes.